Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 117.370078 134.840042 155.016719 180.278245 211.395232 248.919431 2.982906e+02
2025-04-06 93.395618 115.129065 142.830302 181.597727 235.930052 311.802151 4.305416e+02
2025-04-13 79.644875 102.623600 133.828717 180.900865 253.200928 365.982987 5.692979e+02
2025-04-20 72.740497 97.259619 132.399409 189.022093 283.609724 447.788274 7.903479e+02
2025-04-27 68.973977 95.362199 135.099157 203.261309 326.947217 566.759415 1.155757e+03
2025-05-04 62.574819 88.515033 128.937379 201.421983 341.184006 636.199478 1.464945e+03
2025-05-11 58.091232 83.946596 125.559597 203.441123 362.923795 730.402963 1.927417e+03
2025-05-18 53.434158 78.515466 119.923509 200.129334 372.713874 801.311384 2.399487e+03
2025-05-25 50.310052 75.208213 117.417001 202.199220 394.690730 914.694708 3.196541e+03
2025-06-01 47.190198 71.568663 113.830672 201.407454 409.837442 1017.751397 4.147701e+03
2025-06-08 44.127976 67.730578 109.419384 198.120941 418.007917 1104.819881 5.228303e+03
2025-06-15 42.946499 67.032945 110.713981 207.242468 461.275147 1342.212454 8.186393e+03
2025-06-22 39.660968 62.542434 104.716935 200.144772 461.045276 1430.841683 1.053898e+04
2025-06-29 37.593939 60.106186 102.521823 201.658368 487.579659 1663.488430 1.671101e+04
2025-07-06 35.529273 57.472567 99.597914 200.856268 507.043700 1889.812916 2.651223e+04
2025-07-13 34.597417 56.855268 100.687507 210.213608 564.394009 2404.274386 6.248299e+04
2025-07-20 34.279529 57.363160 104.184622 226.668368 656.650459 3342.559074 2.807978e+05
2025-07-27 32.545659 54.950971 101.068933 224.539469 676.892401 3806.988003 8.722644e+05
2025-08-03 31.286455 53.374990 99.625224 226.876544 717.673592 4584.670968 1.049603e+07
2025-08-10 29.721708 51.064049 96.277294 223.043908 730.012700 5128.347854 3.178758e+10
2025-08-17 28.682087 49.743909 95.068365 225.438949 773.616343 6246.975438 NaN
2025-08-24 27.522146 48.090595 92.911329 224.522657 801.257293 7312.706380 NaN
2025-08-31 26.285278 46.194616 90.001120 220.721226 812.620137 8216.207759 NaN